Cup Paulista Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 3-1
XV de Piracicaba vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OES
0 - 1
XVD
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
XVD
3 - 1
GDS
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
XVD
19%
21%
61%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
XVD
0 - 0
CAT
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 0
XVD
24%
25%
52%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OES
0 - 1
XVD
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OES
3 - 0
BER
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
OES
25%
24%
51%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
OES
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
OES
2 - 1
POR
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |