Cup Paulista Semi-finals
Global 2-3
XV de Piracicaba vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 1
XVD
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
XVD
1 - 0
COM
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
COM
0 - 0
XVD
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
XVD
2 - 1
ATI
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
ATI
1 - 1
XVD
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 1
XVD
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 0
FER
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
FER
0 - 1
MAR
63%
23%
15%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 2
VEL
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 0
MAR
56%
25%
19%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |