XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
XVD
1 - 1
BRA
41%
25%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 2
XVD
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
XVD
1 - 0
RBB
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
XVD
77%
17%
7%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
XVD
2 - 1
PAU
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ITU
3 - 3
JUV
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 2
CSA
65%
22%
13%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ITU
0 - 0
PAU
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ITU
0 - 1
INT
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
INT
3 - 5
ITU
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |