Cup Paulista Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
XV de Piracicaba vs Inter de Limeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
INT
0 - 1
XVD
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
XVD
2 - 2
SAO
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 2
XVD
25%
27%
48%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
XVD
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
XVD
1 - 1
BOT
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Inter de Limeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
INT
0 - 1
XVD
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
COM
0 - 2
INT
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
INT
1 - 0
SAO
27%
26%
46%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
3 - 3
INT
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
INT
0 - 2
SAO
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |