XV de Piracicaba vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 0
XVD
33%
27%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
XVD
0 - 0
RIO
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
IND
2 - 2
XVD
29%
28%
44%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
XVD
0 - 2
UNI
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
XVD
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
IND
2 - 1
UNI
36%
27%
38%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 0
IND
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
IND
2 - 2
XVD
29%
28%
44%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
IND
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
IND
2 - 2
RIO
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |