XV de Piracicaba vs Desportivo Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
XVD
2 - 2
NOR
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
RBB
0 - 1
XVD
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
RIO
0 - 0
XVD
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
XVD
1 - 3
FER
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
XVD
2 - 0
INT
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 1
DES
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
DES
0 - 0
INT
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
DES
2 - 2
RBB
33%
27%
41%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 0
DES
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
FER
1 - 0
DES
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |