XV de Piracicaba vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
PRI
1 - 2
XVD
13%
22%
65%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 1
XVD
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
XVD
0 - 0
SAO
49%
25%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
POR
0 - 1
XVD
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
XVD
3 - 2
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
AUD
2 - 1
INT
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 1
AUD
60%
22%
17%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
AUD
0 - 2
SAO
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
RIO
3 - 1
AUD
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
ATI
0 - 0
AUD
37%
25%
39%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |