Cup Paulista Eliminatorias Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
XV de Piracicaba vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
XVD
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
XVD
2 - 1
OES
58%
23%
18%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OES
0 - 1
XVD
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
XVD
3 - 1
GDS
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
XVD
19%
21%
61%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
XVD
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
SAO
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 0
POR
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
63%
23%
15%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
USA
0 - 3
POR
14%
22%
64%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |