XV de Piracicaba vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
XVD
24%
25%
52%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
XVD
1 - 2
FCS
76%
17%
7%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
LIN
0 - 1
XVD
34%
26%
41%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
LIN
0 - 1
XVD
36%
26%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
XVD
1 - 1
FER
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
XVD
24%
25%
52%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
LIN
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
FCS
0 - 1
POR
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
AGU
3 - 2
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
POR
2 - 2
TAU
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |