Xorazm vs Aral Nukus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+108%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
10º
7º
22
4º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xorazm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PFK
1 - 2
XOR
8%
16%
76%
|
51 | 18 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
OLM
4 - 2
XOR
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FKL
2 - 0
XOR
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
XOR
3 - 0
FKA
82%
12%
5%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
XOR
3 - 1
MET
32%
25%
44%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 1
DSA
13%
22%
65%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ORO
2 - 0
FKL
10%
19%
72%
|
31 | 64 | 33 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 2
NAV
10%
19%
70%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 2
ORO
23%
19%
58%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
ORO
3 - 0
PFK
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |