Xinabajul vs Cotzumalguapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
27.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
7º
7º
19
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
4 - 1
XIN
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
XIN
2 - 1
COM
32%
30%
38%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
XIN
3 - 1
ANT
28%
29%
43%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
COB
1 - 1
XIN
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
XIN
1 - 1
TOR
28%
29%
43%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cotzumalguapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
SLC
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MIX
1 - 0
SLC
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
SLC
1 - 2
IZT
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SLC
1 - 0
ACH
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
SLC
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |