Xinabajul vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1º
10º
9º
10
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
10 | 34 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 32 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 29 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 29 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 28 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 28 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 27 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 26 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 25 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 24 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 21 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
58% | 96% |
|
Mid-table
|
42% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
CHI
7 - 2
XIN
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
XIN
2 - 1
ACH
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
XIN
1 - 2
COB
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LEO
2 - 0
XIN
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
COB
1 - 1
XIN
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MUN
4 - 2
TOR
50%
24%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
ANT
2 - 1
MUN
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
1 - 1
MUN
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
MUN
2 - 1
ACH
50%
24%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 2
ANT
52%
24%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |