Xinabajul vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
24.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
6º
11º
7º
18
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MIX
2 - 0
XIN
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
COB
2 - 5
XIN
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
XIN
3 - 1
TOR
37%
27%
37%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
XIN
0 - 0
CHI
45%
29%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
COA
1 - 1
XIN
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
CHI
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ANT
3 - 0
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
ACH
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
MIX
2 - 1
GUA
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ZAC
2 - 2
GUA
40%
30%
30%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |