Xinabajul vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
7º
7º
23
8º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 49% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 51% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
XIN
1 - 2
MUN
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 0
XIN
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
XIN
0 - 0
MIX
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
IZT
1 - 2
XIN
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
XIN
5 - 2
SLC
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ACH
3 - 2
GUA
38%
31%
31%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MUN
5 - 1
ACH
56%
23%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 2
COM
34%
29%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CHI
6 - 1
ACH
46%
27%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 0
ANT
36%
28%
37%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |