Xinabajul vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
7º
7º
23
8º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 49% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 51% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
XIN
1 - 2
MUN
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 0
XIN
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
XIN
0 - 0
MIX
42%
29%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
IZT
1 - 2
XIN
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
XIN
5 - 2
SLC
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ACH
3 - 2
GUA
38%
31%
31%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MUN
5 - 1
ACH
56%
23%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 2
COM
34%
29%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CHI
6 - 1
ACH
46%
27%
26%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 0
ANT
36%
28%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |