Xerxes vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerxes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1967 |
GAE
2 - 0
XER
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1966 |
GRO
2 - 1
XER
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
AJA
4 - 1
XER
87%
8%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
XER
1 - 1
FEY
25%
22%
54%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1966 |
XER
6 - 1
VVD
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1966 |
FOR
1 - 3
ADO
33%
24%
43%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
TEL
2 - 0
FOR
44%
25%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
FOR
3 - 2
GRO
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1966 |
FOR
2 - 6
FEY
26%
25%
49%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
GAE
4 - 0
FOR
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |