Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 5-4
Xerez CD vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
MLL
3 - 0
XER
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
XER
3 - 1
ALC
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
CAD
0 - 0
XER
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
XER
1 - 0
LEV
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
PUE
2 - 0
XER
77%
15%
9%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
LLE
0 - 1
RAC
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
RCF
1 - 0
LLE
68%
19%
14%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
LLE
0 - 0
SPO
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
CEL
6 - 0
LLE
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
LLE
2 - 1
UPL
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |