Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 5-4
Xerez CD vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
XER
3 - 3
CDT
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
XER
2 - 1
VAL
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
CEU
2 - 0
XER
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
POR
0 - 0
XER
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
XER
1 - 0
JER
53%
23%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
LLE
0 - 2
DEP
32%
29%
39%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
OVI
2 - 0
LLE
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
LLE
1 - 1
RAY
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1967 |
DEP
4 - 1
LLE
79%
13%
7%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
LLE
0 - 0
DEP
34%
25%
41%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |