Xerez CD vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
58.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
12º
12º
39
1º
15º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
1º
|
41 | 59 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 58 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 54 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 49 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 49 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 48 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 48 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 48 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 48 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 44 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 35 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
16º
|
26% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
32% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 25 |
18º
|
59% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 43.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17% | 49% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
XER
2 - 0
BAL
21%
27%
52%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
JER
0 - 3
XER
13%
21%
65%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 2
XER
63%
22%
15%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
XER
11 - 0
CLU
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 0
XER
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
UCA
3 - 0
TCF
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
UCA
3 - 0
MEL
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
LAU
0 - 0
UCA
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UCA
2 - 1
VAL
43%
25%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
UCA
1 - 2
YEC
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |