Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 5-2
Xerez CD vs Las Palmas At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1983 |
IBI
1 - 1
XER
29%
31%
39%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1983 |
AGD
2 - 1
XER
55%
26%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
POZ
1 - 1
XER
31%
30%
39%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
XER
1 - 1
ANT
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
XER
3 - 1
POZ
86%
10%
4%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Las Palmas At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1983 |
LPA
5 - 1
MAR
77%
14%
8%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1983 |
EST
1 - 0
LPA
26%
27%
47%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
LPA
5 - 1
CDS
84%
11%
6%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
LPA
4 - 1
UDI
88%
9%
3%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
CDS
2 - 1
LPA
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |