Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-0
Xerez CD vs Juventud Torremolinos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.5%
3.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
PAL
4 - 2
XER
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
XER
1 - 2
CAS
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
JUV
0 - 1
XER
31%
28%
42%
|
58 | 26 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
RAY
3 - 2
XER
69%
21%
10%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
XER
1 - 2
SAB
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Juventud Torremolinos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
JUV
0 - 4
AMA
64%
21%
15%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
VIL
2 - 2
JUV
55%
24%
20%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
JUV
0 - 1
XER
31%
28%
42%
|
26 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
JUV
3 - 4
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
MEL
0 - 2
JUV
60%
23%
17%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |