Xerez CD vs At. Malagueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
POL
1 - 0
XER
33%
29%
38%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2004 |
XER
1 - 1
CAD
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
XER
1 - 2
LEV
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
UDL
1 - 1
XER
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
ALG
2 - 1
XER
24%
28%
48%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
SPO
1 - 0
MAL
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
MAL
2 - 2
CDT
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
EIB
3 - 3
MAL
53%
27%
19%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
MAL
2 - 0
CIU
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
NUM
3 - 0
MAL
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |