Xerez CD vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
XER
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
XER
2 - 2
ALC
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SAB
2 - 0
XER
20%
26%
54%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 0
XER
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
XER
2 - 1
HER
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 0
UDL
23%
25%
53%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
NUM
2 - 0
ALC
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 1
VAD
13%
23%
65%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 2
ALM
11%
22%
67%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ELC
1 - 2
ALC
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +1 |