Xerez CD vs AD Cartaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
15º
10º
29
5º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
64.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
13º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
93.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CDR
1 - 1
XER
20%
23%
57%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
XER
0 - 1
CAC
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AYA
2 - 2
XER
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
XER
1 - 1
SEV
47%
26%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
COR
0 - 3
XER
21%
24%
55%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
AD Cartaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
CRD
17%
22%
61%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDA
4 - 1
CAR
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 3
ESP
43%
25%
32%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CON
4 - 0
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
BOL
38%
26%
36%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |