Tercera RFEF Promotion PlayOff Final
Global 1-1
Xerez Deportivo vs FC Jove Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerez Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
XER
3 - 2
CAC
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CAC
0 - 0
XER
33%
27%
40%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
XER
1 - 1
POZ
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
POZ
0 - 1
XER
27%
27%
46%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
XER
2 - 1
POZ
56%
25%
19%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Jove Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
JOV
1 - 0
ATZ
29%
29%
42%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ATZ
1 - 1
JOV
56%
25%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
JOV
1 - 0
UTI
42%
27%
31%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
UTI
0 - 0
JOV
42%
27%
31%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
JOV
0 - 2
LEV
44%
26%
31%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |