Xelajú vs Xinabajul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
8º
7º
6
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 33 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 31 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 29 |
3º
|
8.5% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 29 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 28 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 27 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
|
5º
|
8 | 26 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 26 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 25 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 24 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 19 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
65% | 60% |
|
Mid-table
|
35% | 40% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xelajú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
TOR
2 - 1
CHI
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
1 - 1
MUN
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
5 - 1
ANT
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ACH
2 - 0
CHI
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VEN
1 - 0
CHI
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
XIN
2 - 1
ACH
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
XIN
1 - 2
COB
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LEO
2 - 0
XIN
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
COB
1 - 1
XIN
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
XIN
0 - 0
COB
48%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |