Xelajú vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xelajú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
HER
2 - 0
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
CHI
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 2
HAL
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
ESC
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
COM
2 - 0
UNI
67%
20%
14%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
HER
32%
26%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
HAL
3 - 1
UNI
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
4 - 0
TOR
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ESC
2 - 0
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |