Xelajú vs Cotzumalguapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
20.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
9º
3º
19
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xelajú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 0
GUA
47%
29%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
COM
0 - 0
CHI
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 0
ANT
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
COB
0 - 1
CHI
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 1
TOR
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cotzumalguapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MIX
1 - 0
SLC
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
SLC
1 - 2
IZT
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SLC
1 - 0
ACH
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
SLC
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SLC
0 - 0
COM
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |