Clausura Guatemala Quarter-finals
Global 7-4
Xelajú vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xelajú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LEO
3 - 4
CHI
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
ZAC
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
DEP
0 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
4 - 0
HER
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
HER
2 - 2
COM
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HAL
3 - 0
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
CON
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
4 - 0
HER
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |