Xelajú vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
2º
8º
8º
7
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
10 | 34 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 32 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 29 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 29 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 28 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 28 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 27 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
8 | 26 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 25 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 24 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 21 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
65% | 78% |
|
Mid-table
|
35% | 22% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xelajú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
MIX
0 - 0
CHI
42%
30%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
CHI
7 - 2
XIN
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
TOR
2 - 1
CHI
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
1 - 1
MUN
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
5 - 1
ANT
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 0
ACH
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
4 - 0
COB
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
LEO
2 - 0
GUA
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 0
COM
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ANT
3 - 0
GUA
56%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |