Apertura Guatemala Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Xelajú vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
23.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xelajú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
CHI
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 2
CHI
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 0
CHI
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 1
DSA
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
CHI
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
COB
1 - 2
GUA
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
COB
50%
27%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
IZT
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
COM
0 - 0
GUA
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |