Wynnum Wolves vs Queensland Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
75.1%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4195%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
12º
5º
42
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wynnum Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
RED
0 - 1
WYN
68%
16%
16%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WYN
0 - 4
MOR
15%
17%
69%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 3
WYN
80%
12%
8%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WYN
3 - 2
SUN
14%
16%
70%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BRR
1 - 1
WYN
74%
15%
11%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GOL
3 - 2
QUE
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
SUN
3 - 1
QUE
13%
19%
68%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RED
2 - 4
QUE
14%
17%
70%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 4
QUE
34%
24%
43%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
QUE
6 - 0
BRI
71%
16%
14%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +2 |