Wynnum Wolves vs Gold Coast Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4195%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
12º
5º
58
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wynnum Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
WYN
0 - 7
QUE
11%
14%
75%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
RED
0 - 1
WYN
68%
16%
16%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WYN
0 - 4
MOR
15%
17%
69%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 3
WYN
80%
12%
8%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WYN
3 - 2
SUN
14%
16%
70%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Gold Coast Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
QUE
1 - 1
GCK
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GCK
4 - 1
RED
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 3
GCK
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
GCK
3 - 1
BRI
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 1
GCK
13%
21%
67%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | +1 |