CAF Champions Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Wydad Casablanca vs Petro de Luanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wydad Casablanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
PET
1 - 3
WYD
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
WYD
3 - 0
FAR
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 1
WYD
37%
30%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
WYD
0 - 0
BEL
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -3 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 1
WYD
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Petro de Luanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2022 |
ADL
1 - 1
PET
28%
27%
46%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
PET
1 - 3
WYD
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 3
PET
27%
28%
46%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
PET
3 - 0
ONZ
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SUN
1 - 1
PET
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |