Arab Club Champions Cup Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-1
Wydad Casablanca vs Al-Merreikh SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wydad Casablanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
WYD
1 - 3
FAR
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ALM
1 - 1
WYD
35%
26%
40%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
KAW
3 - 3
WYD
32%
29%
39%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
WYD
4 - 1
OCK
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 0
WYD
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Merreikh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ALM
4 - 0
ALA
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ALM
1 - 1
WYD
35%
26%
40%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
AAS
2 - 3
ALM
7%
22%
70%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ALM
1 - 0
OBA
78%
15%
8%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
ALM
1 - 0
HAW
82%
13%
6%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -2 |