EFL Cup Semi-finals
Global 1-5
Wycombe Wanderers vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
64.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
18.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wycombe Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
WYC
1 - 1
ROC
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
WYC
0 - 0
HER
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
LIN
1 - 0
WYC
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
SWI
2 - 1
WYC
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
WYC
2 - 0
STO
59%
22%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
CHL
6 - 1
MAC
84%
13%
3%
|
95 | 53 | 42 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2007 |
ASV
0 - 0
CHL
15%
25%
60%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
CHL
2 - 2
FUL
73%
18%
9%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
CHL
2 - 2
REA
75%
17%
8%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
WIG
2 - 3
CHL
14%
25%
62%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |