Würzburger Kickers vs Vilzing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
10º
2º
9
9º
18º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
18 | 74 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 67 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 60 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 59 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 54 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 33 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 22 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würzburger Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
WUR
0 - 4
BAY
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
0 - 2
WUR
10%
19%
71%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WUR
1 - 4
BAY
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
WUR
2 - 2
HOF
15%
19%
66%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
WUR
5 - 0
ANS
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vilzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 0
VIK
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 1
VIL
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 1
NUR
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 1
VIL
36%
24%
40%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 3
WAC
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |