Würzburger Kickers vs SpVgg Ansbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
10º
3º
23
9º
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 71 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 64 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 63 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 39 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 38 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 38 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 33 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 26 |
17º
|
47.5% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 25 |
18º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 80% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 17% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würzburger Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
WAC
2 - 0
WUR
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
WUR
3 - 1
TSA
81%
13%
5%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 2
WUR
10%
19%
71%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 3
WUR
16%
20%
64%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WUR
1 - 3
GRE
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Ansbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ANS
4 - 1
VIK
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
BAY
2 - 2
ANS
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 4
NUR
26%
23%
51%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 2
ATS
70%
17%
13%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 4
FCN
11%
16%
73%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |