Würzburger FV vs TSV Kornburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
61.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
13º
13º
30
5º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 72 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 69 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 69 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 65 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 53 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 44 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 43 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 42 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 40 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 15 |
18º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 84% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24% | 16% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
WUR
4 - 3
ASR
54%
23%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WUR
0 - 4
BAY
22%
21%
58%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
REG
1 - 0
WUR
72%
15%
13%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
WUR
6 - 1
FEU
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AMM
2 - 0
WUR
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Kornburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TSV
4 - 1
KOR
46%
23%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ATS
1 - 1
KOR
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
KOR
0 - 0
ASV
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SVD
2 - 4
KOR
14%
18%
67%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
KOR
1 - 0
NEU
33%
25%
43%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |