Würzburger FV vs Jahn Regensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1977 |
WUR
1 - 1
MUN
19%
25%
56%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1977 |
RVO
1 - 2
WUR
75%
17%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1977 |
WUR
1 - 1
HOM
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1977 |
STU
4 - 0
WUR
86%
10%
4%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
WUR
3 - 2
AUG
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1977 |
SSV
0 - 1
HOM
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1977 |
STU
8 - 0
SSV
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1977 |
SSV
5 - 1
AUG
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 1977 |
WAL
2 - 0
SSV
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
SSV
4 - 1
BSV
68%
17%
15%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |