Würzburger FV vs Nürnberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
63.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
JRE
1 - 1
WUR
73%
16%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
WUR
0 - 0
WEI
29%
25%
46%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
GRE
3 - 1
WUR
75%
16%
10%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
WUR
0 - 1
FUR
28%
24%
49%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
BAY
5 - 1
WUR
77%
16%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
NUR
1 - 0
MEM
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
GRO
4 - 1
NUR
23%
22%
55%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
NUR
0 - 3
TSV
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
SCS
1 - 2
NUR
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
186
1 - 3
NUR
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |