Würzburger FV vs Neudrossenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
50.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
11º
10º
13
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 72 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 68 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 55 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 52 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 48 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 44 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 44 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 41 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 36 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 36 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 28 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 12 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 43.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 55% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ATS
3 - 1
WUR
72%
17%
12%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
TSK
0 - 1
WUR
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DJK
2 - 2
WUR
84%
11%
6%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WUR
1 - 1
KOR
19%
20%
62%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
WUR
4 - 3
ASR
54%
23%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Neudrossenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 1
DJK
38%
22%
40%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KOR
2 - 1
NEU
48%
25%
28%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 0
NEU
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
AMM
1 - 1
NEU
54%
22%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
NEU
0 - 0
FCE
55%
21%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |