Würzburger FV vs Jahn Regensburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
38.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
11º
10º
9
13º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 72 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 68 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 55 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 52 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 48 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 44 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 44 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 41 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 36 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 36 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 28 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 12 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 61% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
EIC
1 - 1
WUR
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
WUR
1 - 1
WEI
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 3
WUR
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +3 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WUR
2 - 1
ASV
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
2 - 4
WUR
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
WEI
1 - 1
JRE
54%
22%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
JRE
3 - 2
TSV
31%
25%
45%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ASV
4 - 1
JRE
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
JRE
1 - 1
BAY
44%
23%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
2 - 1
JRE
36%
23%
42%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |