Würzburger FV vs FC Coburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
17º
17º
41
3º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
90.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
90.5% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 52 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
52 | 52 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
52 | 52 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
52 | 52 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
49 | 49 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
48 | 48 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
16 | 16 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
0 - 0
WUR
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WUR
1 - 4
REG
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
FEU
2 - 4
WUR
35%
24%
41%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
WUR
1 - 3
AMM
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
ELT
3 - 0
WUR
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FC Coburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HAH
2 - 0
FCC
75%
16%
10%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 1
JRE
23%
20%
57%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DJK
1 - 3
FCC
73%
15%
12%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 8
EIC
15%
18%
67%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
ING
1 - 2
FCC
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |