Würzburger FV vs Ammerthal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
38%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
13º
13º
25
6º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 72 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 69 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 69 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 65 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 53 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 44 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 43 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 42 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 40 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 15 |
18º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 58% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24% | 42% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FCE
0 - 2
WUR
33%
22%
45%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
WUR
1 - 3
ELT
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
REG
6 - 0
WUR
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WUR
0 - 1
ING
36%
23%
40%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
WUR
5 - 1
JRE
38%
24%
39%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +3 |
Matches
Ammerthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DJK
0 - 0
AMM
41%
21%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
KOR
0 - 5
AMM
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
AMM
0 - 2
NEU
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AMM
2 - 1
TSK
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FCE
2 - 1
AMM
22%
19%
59%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |