Würzburger FV vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
73.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
TSV
3 - 0
WUR
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
WUR
2 - 2
186
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
MEM
1 - 5
WUR
43%
26%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
QUF
0 - 1
WUR
58%
23%
20%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
WUR
3 - 2
BAY
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
BRE
1 - 3
MUN
60%
20%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
MUN
1 - 1
HSV
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
KOL
2 - 0
MUN
46%
24%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
NEW
3 - 1
MUN
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
MUN
0 - 4
KAI
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |