Würmla vs St. Pölten II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
5 - 1
WUR
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
WUR
3 - 1
SVS
83%
12%
6%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BAD
1 - 0
WUR
69%
18%
14%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
WUR
0 - 2
WAI
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
OBE
1 - 1
WUR
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
St. Pölten II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
STP
4 - 0
GOT
58%
21%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
STP
2 - 3
ARD
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 2
STP
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
STP
2 - 2
SVS
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAD
3 - 2
STP
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |