Würmla vs St. Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
WUR
3 - 0
KOT
42%
24%
34%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
KOT
4 - 0
WUR
55%
23%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
WUR
3 - 1
GAF
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
ZWE
2 - 1
WUR
66%
19%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
WUR
1 - 1
LEO
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
St. Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
STP
3 - 0
STP
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
STP
1 - 2
STP
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
STP
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
STP
2 - 2
SVS
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BAD
4 - 0
STP
63%
20%
18%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |