Würmla vs Parndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
57.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
NEU
3 - 1
WUR
69%
19%
13%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
WUR
1 - 2
ADM
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
MAT
2 - 1
WUR
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
WUR
1 - 2
RAP
24%
24%
52%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
FAC
6 - 4
WUR
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Parndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
ADM
2 - 1
PAR
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 2
RAP
49%
25%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
BAU
0 - 4
PAR
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 3
OST
70%
19%
12%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
SVH
3 - 0
PAR
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |