Würmla vs Mistelbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
ZWE
5 - 1
WUR
36%
24%
41%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
WUR
2 - 3
LAN
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
BAD
1 - 0
WUR
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
WUR
4 - 2
ARD
59%
21%
20%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 1
WUR
18%
22%
60%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Mistelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
MIS
0 - 1
LEO
34%
25%
41%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
KOT
1 - 1
MIS
69%
19%
13%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MIS
0 - 0
STP
30%
24%
47%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
STP
1 - 0
MIS
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
MIS
2 - 1
GOT
49%
24%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |