Würmla vs Mistelbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
WUR
3 - 1
STP
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
STP
3 - 2
WUR
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
WUR
3 - 2
ZWE
35%
24%
42%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
GOT
0 - 2
WUR
59%
21%
19%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
WUR
0 - 0
SVS
56%
22%
23%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mistelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
MIS
3 - 1
AMS
25%
23%
51%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GAF
2 - 0
MIS
44%
24%
32%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
MIS
2 - 1
GOT
40%
25%
35%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
MIS
0 - 2
LAN
39%
24%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
MIS
2 - 1
STP
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |